Forecasts for the US depend heavily on what Trump might actually get done. Ambrose Evans-Pritchard thinks Mr. Market is out over his skis.
The discussion of the delayed lift-off in US monetary policy is just the latest episode in a long-lasting debate over the causes of inertia in monetary policy. This column approaches the issue by assuming that psychological drivers can influence the decisions of central bankers. Loss aversion is one source of behavioural bias which can explain delays in changing the stance of monetary policy, including the fear of lift-off after a recession.
Deutsche Bank Wins in Stare-Down With Department of Justice Over Mortgage-Backed Securities Liability; Credit Suisse Also Settles While Barclays Holds Out
Deutsche came off well in a mortgage settlement with the DoJ, while Barclay's decision to fight doesn't look so smart.