Treasury Bond Yields Are Turning Up Again

My work has triggered preliminary signals that the correction of the Sept-Dec upleg in the ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT) ended at yesterday’s (Jan 12) low of 38.19, and that a new upleg has commenced. Let’s notice that the 24-hour upmove from 38.19 has stalled just below 39.90, which represents the resistance line off […]

The TF Falling Wedge Breaks Up

The very nicely formed falling wedge on TF has broken up. Triangle support and the monthly pivot were broken slightly overnight, and Stan & I were looking at that last night and felt that a marginal break, like the one seen overnight, wouldn’t invalidate the bull scenario. If TF can get back over the weekly […]

Goodbye to 2016

It’s been an interesting year on equities this year, with plenty of thrills and spills, and with some extremely dull periods where volatility almost vanished. Not the easiest year to trade, but generally something interesting happening, even if that was only a record-challenging period of very little volatility like the one we saw in the […]

The Low Before The High

Just when you think the tape has gone into a persistent vegetative state it can sometimes surprise you, and ES did that yesterday with an unexpected trend down day. This is good news from a technical perspective as there is usually a spike down shortly before a significant high, and I was thinking that ES […]

Bonds: 90% of You Are Herding

90% (my low-balled estimate) of you, the investing public, are herding when it comes to the bond market.  You may not know it because the overwhelming psychological atmosphere is to reaffirm, not question peoples’ behavior.  That is what herding is; a comforting feeling of going with the flow and being at one with your environment […]
1 2 3 42